Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -130 HART +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +2 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -5.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.6 (-0.6) | 134.5 (-30.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -2.0 (-0.0) | 137.8 (-33.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.6 (+0.4) | 138.2 (-34.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.5 (+0.5) | 138.1 (-34.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2022 | UNH 70 – 64 HART |
| Jan 20, 2022 | HART 69 – 57 UNH |
| Dec 27, 2020 | UNH 77 – 69 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#207) | -3.9 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#214) | -0.14 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#189) | -0.22 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#201) | 0.456 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 84.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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