Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | UNH -150 HART +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -6.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.8 (+2.2) | 133.7 (+0.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.9 (+2.1) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.8 (+2.2) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.2 (+1.8) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2022 | HART 69 – 57 UNH |
| Dec 28, 2020 | UNH 53 – 51 HART |
| Dec 27, 2020 | UNH 77 – 69 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#246) | -7.2 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#290) | -2.10 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#291) | -2.57 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#248) | 0.424 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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