Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -15.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -13.2 (-1.2) | 150.0 (+16.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -12.8 (-0.8) | 148.1 (+17.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -13.2 (-1.2) | 149.6 (+16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -13.1 (-1.1) | 149.3 (+16.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#94) | -5.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#146) | -1.26 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#129) | -1.63 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#163) | 0.438 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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