Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +1 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -5.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -4.5 (-3.5) | 129.9 (-16.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -3.8 (-2.8) | 130.7 (-17.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.1 (-3.1) | 131.2 (-18.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -4.1 (-3.1) | 132.0 (-19.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#48) | 8.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#63) | 2.58 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#52) | 2.72 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#45) | 0.582 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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