He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread IOWA -3.0 Home covered
O/U 151.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +2 94 Won
Massey IOWA -7.7 (+9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 151.5 (-57.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 25% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IOWA -4.5 (+6.5) 143.9 (-49.9) 39% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML IOWA -4.7 (+6.7) 148.5 (-54.5) 33% ✗
Baseline ML IOWA -4.7 (+6.7) 151.0 (-57.0) 35% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IOWA -5.0 (+7.0) 150.3 (-56.3) 34% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG
Feb 12, 2025 IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG
Jan 6, 2024 IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG
Jan 29, 2023 IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG
Jan 8, 2023 IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG IOWA
Overall 18-14 26-10
Conference 12-8 12-8
Home 14-3 15-3
Away 4-9 6-6
Neutral 0-2 5-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 83.2
Avg Pts Against 66.5 71.2
Massey 3.7 (#113) 15.1 (#16)
Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#101) 2.51 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#86) 3.37 (#26)
RPI 0.517 (#137) 0.594 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG IOWA
FG% 43.5% 47.8%
3PT% 34.2% 34.7%
REB / G 37.2 36.8
OREB / G 11.1 11.8
AST / TO 1.37 1.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 54.2%
TOV% 17.5% 12.3%
ORB% 30.3% 32.6%
FT Rate 18.5% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.1% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 20.7%
DRB% 73.5% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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