Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -17.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -14.0 (-3.0) | 158.9 (-31.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -11.9 (-0.9) | 158.5 (-31.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -13.2 (-2.2) | 158.4 (-31.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -13.1 (-2.1) | 156.9 (-29.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#166) | -13.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#214) | -2.54 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#228) | -3.04 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#158) | 0.439 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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