Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 21, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +7 133 Won
Massey DETM -5.8 (+12.8) — —
Massey Totals — 134.2 (-1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 12% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 7% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -6.5 (+13.5) 134.3 (-1.3) 25% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -7.2 (+14.2) 136.9 (-3.9) 23% ✗
Baseline ML DETM -5.7 (+12.7) 138.9 (-5.9) 24% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DETM -5.9 (+12.9) 136.4 (-3.4) 24% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 74 – 70 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 76 – 63 DETM
Feb 28, 2025 GB 76 – 71 DETM
Feb 1, 2025 DETM 67 – 57 GB
Jan 27, 2024 GB 78 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB DETM
Overall 5-25 14-16
Conference 4-16 10-7
Home 4-9 9-1
Away 1-13 5-15
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 61.2 69.9
Avg Pts Against 69.7 71.2
Massey -11.2 (#329) -1.8 (#209)
Bradley-Terry -3.54 (#351) -0.93 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.30 (#352) -1.02 (#249)
RPI 0.349 (#350) 0.464 (#232)
Shooting & Four Factors GB DETM
FG% 40.3% 41.6%
3PT% 25.8% 35.5%
REB / G 31.1 33.6
OREB / G 9.3 10.4
AST / TO 0.83 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.2% 50.0%
TOV% 19.0% 18.9%
ORB% 27.7% 29.5%
FT Rate 24.8% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 19.5%
DRB% 71.2% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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