Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -5.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -5.3 (-15.3) | 142.9 (-8.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -3.9 (-13.9) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -4.1 (-14.1) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -4.1 (-14.1) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#121) | 1.4 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#142) | 0.43 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#123) | 0.46 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.496 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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