Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -2.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -1.9 (-4.9) | 130.1 (-9.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -1.9 (-4.9) | 135.0 (-14.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USU -1.2 (-4.2) | 135.8 (-14.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -1.1 (-4.1) | 134.8 (-13.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#63) | 9.9 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#86) | 1.56 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#67) | 1.98 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#71) | 0.578 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.