I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · January 21, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -14.0 Away covered
O/U 133.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual WRST +28 118 Lost
Massey WRST -12.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 132.1 (-14.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 4% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -15.2 (-12.8) 129.6 (-11.6) 13% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -13.0 (-15.0) 136.4 (-18.4) 14% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -12.0 (-16.0) 136.0 (-18.0) 13% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -14.3 (-13.7) 132.0 (-14.0) 13% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 WRST 85 – 73 IUIN
Jan 4, 2026 WRST 81 – 77 IUIN
Mar 5, 2025 WRST 98 – 85 IUIN
Mar 1, 2025 IUIN 91 – 84 WRST
Feb 9, 2025 WRST 91 – 73 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN WRST
Overall 3-26 22-14
Conference 1-16 15-7
Home 2-11 12-3
Away 1-13 7-7
Neutral 0-2 3-4
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 51.3 75.5
Avg Pts Against 68.4 72.3
Massey -20.8 (#357) -5.2 (#262)
Bradley-Terry -4.81 (#359) -0.97 (#262)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.31 (#358) -1.09 (#251)
RPI 0.309 (#359) 0.441 (#281)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN WRST
FG% 36.8% 46.3%
3PT% 27.5% 30.5%
REB / G 30.3 32.6
OREB / G 9.9 8.9
AST / TO 0.58 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.1% 51.2%
TOV% 26.4% 18.0%
ORB% 30.0% 26.7%
FT Rate 17.9% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 17.6%
DRB% 66.2% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 31.5% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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