Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +28 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -9.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -7.8 (+20.2) | 139.4 (-13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -7.4 (+20.6) | 141.9 (-15.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.2 (+20.8) | 141.3 (-15.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -8.4 (+19.6) | 139.9 (-13.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -5.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#159) | -1.16 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | -1.24 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.458 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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