Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -2.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -1.4 (+7.6) | 145.8 (+1.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -0.8 (+8.2) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -1.5 (+7.5) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.3 (+7.7) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | FAU 75 – 51 WKU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FAU 70 – 63 WKU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | FAU 76 – 62 WKU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WKU 76 – 69 FAU |
Game Analysis
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