Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -1000 WKU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -16.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -15.1 (-8.1) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -12.8 (-5.8) | 143.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -14.8 (-7.8) | 143.5 (-10.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -15.2 (-8.2) | 142.5 (-9.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | FAU 75 – 51 WKU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | FAU 76 – 62 WKU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WKU 76 – 69 FAU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FAU 78 – 69 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#28) | -1.0 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#7) | -0.05 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#18) | -0.37 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#16) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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