Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | WKU -190 FAU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.7 (+3.3) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.4 (+3.6) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -3.7 (+3.3) | 148.7 (-3.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -3.4 (+3.6) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | FAU 75 – 51 WKU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FAU 70 – 63 WKU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | FAU 76 – 62 WKU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FAU 78 – 69 WKU |
Game Analysis
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