Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -600 WKU +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +24 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -12.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -11.8 (+12.2) | 142.6 (-16.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -10.4 (+13.6) | 143.0 (-17.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -11.6 (+12.4) | 143.8 (-17.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -11.7 (+12.3) | 144.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | FAU 70 – 63 WKU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | FAU 76 – 62 WKU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WKU 76 – 69 FAU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FAU 78 – 69 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#24) | -0.4 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#11) | 0.26 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#25) | 0.09 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#14) | 0.495 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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