Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WKU +155 FAU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -7.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -5.1 (-8.9) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.1 (-7.9) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.3 (-8.7) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -5.6 (-8.4) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | FAU 75 – 51 WKU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FAU 70 – 63 WKU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | WKU 76 – 69 FAU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | FAU 78 – 69 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 17-0 |
| Away | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#162) | 11.5 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#128) | 3.03 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#159) | 3.15 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.636 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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