Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -3.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -1.3 (-11.3) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -2.1 (-12.1) | 147.8 (+6.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -1.9 (-11.9) | 148.3 (+5.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -1.3 (-11.3) | 145.5 (+8.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-13 | 11-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#160) | 0.2 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#280) | 0.58 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#237) | 0.53 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#227) | 0.537 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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