Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | ORST +190 WASH -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -1.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -2.3 (+3.3) | 132.2 (-1.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -3.4 (+4.4) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.7 (+2.7) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -2.2 (+3.2) | 132.8 (-1.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2022 | WASH 82 – 72 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#281) | 1.6 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#301) | 1.47 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#287) | 1.82 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#347) | 0.573 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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