Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -8.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -9.1 (+1.9) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -7.1 (+3.9) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -8.6 (+2.4) | 151.5 (-6.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -8.9 (+2.1) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | WASH 82 – 72 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 11-6 | 3-13 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#122) | -2.8 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#98) | -1.53 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#99) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#113) | 0.432 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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