Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +155 WASH -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -5.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -3.3 (-8.7) | 151.4 (-29.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.0 (-7.0) | 149.0 (-27.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -3.8 (-8.2) | 152.8 (-30.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -3.5 (-8.5) | 152.0 (-30.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2022 | WASH 82 – 72 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | 9.4 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | 1.08 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | 1.43 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.544 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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