Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -500 ORST +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +14 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -9.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -8.0 (+6.0) | 130.9 (-22.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -9.0 (+5.0) | 130.2 (-22.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.9 (+6.1) | 130.6 (-22.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -8.1 (+5.9) | 131.5 (-23.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WASH 79 – 72 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2022 | WASH 82 – 72 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#104) | -1.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#105) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#106) | -0.45 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.455 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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