Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | WASH -800 ORST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -15.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -11.2 (-4.2) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -12.0 (-5.0) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -10.7 (-3.7) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -10.9 (-3.9) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | WASH 67 – 55 ORST |
| Feb 19, 2023 | WASH 61 – 47 ORST |
| Dec 2, 2022 | ORST 66 – 65 WASH |
| Mar 6, 2022 | WASH 78 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2022 | WASH 82 – 72 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#47) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#78) | 0.29 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#70) | 0.33 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#56) | 0.515 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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