Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +16 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -7.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -6.2 (+9.8) | 141.6 (-15.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -6.0 (+10.0) | 145.4 (-19.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -6.5 (+9.5) | 145.4 (-19.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -5.8 (+10.2) | 142.8 (-16.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-6 | 2-11 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#298) | -12.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#254) | -4.38 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#258) | -5.54 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#223) | 0.331 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.