Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -23.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -17.8 (-13.8) | 156.5 (-0.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -17.9 (-13.9) | 156.3 (-0.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -20.9 (-16.9) | 157.3 (-1.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -19.3 (-15.3) | 157.7 (-1.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 4-11 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#109) | -15.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#120) | -2.68 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#112) | -3.92 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.353 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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