Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -7.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -6.9 (+1.1) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -6.0 (+2.0) | 139.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -6.7 (+1.3) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -6.1 (+1.9) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#43) | 6.5 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#37) | 1.04 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#43) | 1.55 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#23) | 0.545 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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