Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +25 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -3.1 (-28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.2 (-26.2) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -1.6 (-26.6) | 150.6 (+6.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -1.9 (-26.9) | 152.0 (+5.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -1.8 (-26.8) | 150.9 (+6.1) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | AKR 77 – 67 BGSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | AKR 96 – 67 BGSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | AKR 71 – 68 BGSU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AKR 83 – 67 BGSU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | AKR 74 – 70 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | -1.3 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#188) | 0.14 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#192) | 0.09 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#184) | 0.494 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.