Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -10.9 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -9.8 (+19.8) | 144.3 (+21.7) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -10.4 (+20.4) | 141.3 (+24.7) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -10.1 (+20.1) | 143.0 (+23.0) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -10.9 (+20.9) | 142.4 (+23.6) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 12-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#296) | 6.8 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#331) | 2.24 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#323) | 2.69 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#333) | 0.608 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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