Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +17 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.3 (-12.7) | 160.4 (-3.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.6 (-11.4) | 160.3 (-3.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -4.9 (-12.1) | 160.4 (-3.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.3 (-11.7) | 160.2 (-3.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#328) | -2.0 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.06 (#349) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#334) | 0.10 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#347) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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