Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | TAR -7.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+43.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -3.6 (-7.6) | 132.2 (+39.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -4.2 (-8.2) | 134.8 (+37.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -4.2 (-8.2) | 135.6 (+36.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -4.5 (-8.5) | 135.8 (+36.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | -3.3 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#190) | -0.39 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#157) | -0.70 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#153) | 0.454 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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