Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.1 (-4.1) | 147.3 (-31.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.6 (-4.6) | 147.6 (-31.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.7 (-4.7) | 148.5 (-32.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -10.1 (-6.1) | 148.0 (-32.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -7.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#150) | -1.52 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | -1.80 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#208) | 0.445 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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