You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Idaho Vandals
73 – 72 OT
FINAL Conference
Sacramento State Hornets
Big Sky Conference · ICCU Arena · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 147.0 Under
Money IDHO -110 / SAC -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual IDHO +1 145 Won
Massey IDHO -0.6 (+0.4) — —
Massey Totals — 148.3 (-3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 28% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SAC -0.4 (+1.4) 148.7 (-3.7) 46% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SAC -0.5 (+1.5) 145.0 (-0.0) 44% ✗
Baseline ML IDHO -0.0 (+1.0) 144.6 (+0.4) 48% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SAC -0.4 (+1.4) 146.3 (-1.3) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 68 – 45 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 86 – 80 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 86 – 76 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 78 – 76 SAC
Jan 10, 2025 IDHO 80 – 67 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO SAC
Overall 9-22 11-18
Conference 6-14 6-14
Home 8-7 6-8
Away 1-12 4-9
Neutral 0-3 1-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 64.5
Avg Pts Against 80.3 71.2
Massey -11.7 (#331) -8.7 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -3.13 (#349) -1.37 (#286)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.10 (#337) -1.50 (#278)
RPI 0.366 (#347) 0.441 (#280)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO SAC
FG% 40.5% 39.7%
3PT% 36.5% 30.0%
REB / G 33.9 32.5
OREB / G 9.4 8.5
AST / TO 0.91 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 44.7%
TOV% 17.9% 17.7%
ORB% 24.7% 22.5%
FT Rate 26.5% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 17.4%
DRB% 70.3% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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