Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +180 RUTG -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -4.5 (-1.5) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -5.2 (-2.2) | 131.5 (+1.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.0 (-2.0) | 131.9 (+1.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.6 (-1.6) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#86) | 4.4 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#49) | 1.21 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#52) | 1.80 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#45) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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