Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Tudor Fieldhouse · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -4.5 Away covered
O/U 145.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual CLT +3 131 Lost
Massey RICE -5.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 154.2 (-23.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -4.9 (-7.9) 148.6 (-17.6) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -4.6 (-7.6) 150.0 (-19.0) 70% ✗
Baseline ML RICE -4.8 (-7.8) 149.6 (-18.6) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RICE -4.4 (-7.4) 149.3 (-18.3) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 80 – 70 RICE
Jan 11, 2026 CLT 74 – 73 RICE
Mar 12, 2025 CLT 64 – 61 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 78 – 75 RICE
Jan 4, 2025 RICE 68 – 55 CLT

Game Analysis

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