Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -6.2 (-0.8) | 151.9 (+5.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.6 (-2.4) | 154.9 (+2.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.9 (-2.1) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.6 (-2.4) | 155.1 (+1.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#336) | -3.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#318) | -0.34 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#315) | -0.55 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#298) | 0.480 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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