Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -14.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -11.7 (+1.3) | 122.0 (+3.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -12.7 (+0.3) | 127.0 (-2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -11.9 (+1.1) | 126.5 (-1.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -11.6 (+1.4) | 126.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2021 | UNT 61 – 55 ODU |
Game Analysis
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