Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +188 UNT -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -7.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.4 (-1.6) | 124.4 (-8.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.5 (-1.5) | 128.5 (-12.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.2 (-1.8) | 129.2 (-13.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.9 (-2.1) | 128.2 (-12.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | UNT 69 – 56 ODU |
Game Analysis
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