Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +29 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -5.8 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -8.2 (-20.8) | 141.9 (+3.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -7.1 (-21.9) | 142.0 (+3.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -6.3 (-22.7) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -8.9 (-20.1) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | SEMO 77 – 59 EIU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 59 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EIU 73 – 58 SEMO |
| Dec 20, 2024 | SEMO 79 – 72 EIU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EIU 75 – 57 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -18.3 (#356) | -8.9 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.56 (#357) | -1.60 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.77 (#356) | -2.07 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#358) | 0.438 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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