Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -2.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -1.7 (-2.3) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.3 (-2.7) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.8 (-2.2) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.8 (-2.2) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#262) | 1.1 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#272) | -0.04 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#247) | 0.09 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#284) | 0.490 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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