I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SC -9.0 Home covered
O/U 144.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +17 149 Won
Massey SC -9.8 (+7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 142.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -8.3 (+8.7) 143.9 (+5.1) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -7.6 (+9.4) 143.6 (+5.4) 79% ✓
Baseline ML SC -7.9 (+9.1) 142.5 (+6.5) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -7.6 (+9.4) 143.4 (+5.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UGA 87 – 68 SC
Jan 10, 2026 UGA 75 – 70 SC
Mar 4, 2025 UGA 73 – 64 SC
Jan 29, 2025 UGA 71 – 60 SC
Feb 3, 2024 SC 72 – 62 UGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC UGA
Overall 18-13 6-26
Conference 9-9 1-17
Home 12-4 6-13
Away 4-7 0-10
Neutral 2-2 0-3
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L12
Avg Pts For 69.7 69.8
Avg Pts Against 70.9 78.5
Massey 3.7 (#114) -2.5 (#220)
Bradley-Terry 1.09 (#93) -1.03 (#262)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.94 (#111) -1.24 (#262)
RPI 0.564 (#74) 0.458 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors SC UGA
FG% 41.8% 44.3%
3PT% 31.8% 32.1%
REB / G 38.6 34.8
OREB / G 13.2 9.5
AST / TO 0.74 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 50.2%
TOV% 22.6% 20.5%
ORB% 35.0% 28.3%
FT Rate 18.3% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 15.1%
DRB% 67.3% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 29.4% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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