Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -8.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -8.1 (+0.9) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -4.8 (+4.2) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -4.4 (+4.6) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -5.3 (+3.7) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#129) | -2.3 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#165) | -0.05 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#156) | -0.22 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#143) | 0.474 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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