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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 53 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern	+12.5	133.9	85%	44–78	✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International	-5.1	141.3	34%	83–86	✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany	+0.2	136.0	41%	86–75	✗
Hartford @ Vermont	+15.7	143.4	89%	72–82	✓
Binghamton @ NJIT	+1.0	138.6	54%	68–57	✗
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky	+11.2	147.7	81%	58–67	✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine	+3.1	124.3	65%	73–76	✓
Dayton @ George Mason	-0.7	128.5	50%	49–50	✗
Furman @ Wofford	+2.2	140.5	62%	75–50	✗
Eastern Michigan @ Akron	+11.0	145.3	85%	44–46	✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine	-11.2	147.2	19%	71–45	✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming	+12.3	155.9	88%	91–93	✓
UT Martin @ Murray State	+20.4	143.2	91%	66–74	✓
Seattle U @ Tarleton State	-0.5	140.3	40%	76–68	✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest	+1.5	148.6	66%	76–98	✓
Wright State @ UIC	-0.8	149.6	41%	97–81	✓
Troy @ Louisiana	+3.0	141.7	67%	59–69	✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley	+4.8	130.5	71%	62–70	✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts	+8.5	154.6	79%	72–71	✗
North Dakota @ Kansas City	+8.5	136.0	82%	74–79	✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas	+2.9	146.7	45%	90–79	✗
San Diego @ Pacific	-1.4	132.8	50%	73–65	✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas	+6.5	144.6	80%	73–76	✓
UCLA @ Colorado	-2.7	139.4	38%	71–65	✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton	+7.2	138.0	82%	80–83	✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Tech	+1.5	154.2	61%	74–85	✓
Portland @ BYU	+18.0	143.9	90%	65–78	✓
Boise State @ San Diego State	+2.8	120.7	54%	42–37	✗
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly	-7.6	132.5	23%	69–56	✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge	-7.8	126.5	22%	77–67	✓
Montana State @ Portland State	-5.7	137.1	26%	73–60	✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount	-4.7	129.2	32%	83–51	✓
Arizona State @ Stanford	+7.6	137.2	80%	76–79	✓
Butler @ Providence	+10.7	130.2	84%	62–69	✓
Northwestern @ Purdue	+13.3	151.5	87%	60–80	✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Bryant	+9.3	149.4	81%	68–85	✓
Rider @ Niagara	+8.4	132.4	78%	70–67	✗
Saint Peter's @ Canisius	-1.6	136.7	47%	60–63	✗
Xavier @ Marquette	+0.7	145.3	61%	64–75	✓
Central Connecticut @ Mount St. Mary's	+9.3	132.9	82%	50–65	✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne	+0.9	141.2	54%	71–82	✓
Illinois State @ Evansville	-5.6	140.7	35%	53–56	✗
Fairfield @ Marist	+3.9	134.2	62%	69–66	✗
Manhattan @ Monmouth	+9.9	143.5	85%	62–78	✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac	-7.6	151.3	23%	76–61	✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Louis	+11.0	147.9	84%	59–90	✓
Arizona @ California	-14.7	141.8	15%	96–71	✓
Memphis @ Tulsa	-5.4	143.0	28%	83–81	✓
Wagner @ Merrimack	-10.3	126.9	15%	71–57	✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State	+11.5	146.1	87%	68–75	✓
Michigan @ Indiana	+4.8	137.7	58%	80–62	✗
UTEP @ UTSA	-7.8	133.2	20%	59–54	✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis	+1.8	141.3	56%	74–85	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.