Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.6 (+4.6) | 136.7 (-13.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -2.3 (+5.3) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.1 (+5.1) | 134.1 (-11.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.5 (+5.5) | 138.0 (-15.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#293) | -2.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#274) | -0.06 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#296) | -0.04 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#278) | 0.508 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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