Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +2 | 90 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -9.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-54.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.0 (-9.0) | 145.3 (-55.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -7.4 (-5.4) | 146.5 (-56.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -7.3 (-5.3) | 145.8 (-55.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -8.7 (-6.7) | 145.5 (-55.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -5.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | -0.92 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#147) | -1.21 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#152) | 0.445 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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