Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +5 | 79 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -3.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.7 (-36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -2.8 (-7.8) | 120.7 (-41.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -3.4 (-8.4) | 122.1 (-43.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -3.0 (-8.0) | 122.1 (-43.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -1.7 (-6.7) | 122.4 (-43.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#44) | 10.0 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#34) | 1.64 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#34) | 2.06 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#15) | 0.579 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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