Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -19.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -15.7 (-5.7) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -17.0 (-7.0) | 146.4 (+7.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -18.2 (-8.2) | 147.6 (+6.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -18.1 (-8.1) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | HART 75 – 74 UVM |
| Mar 6, 2021 | HART 71 – 65 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 10-4 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#64) | -7.9 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#77) | -2.14 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#84) | -2.63 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#67) | 0.407 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 80.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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