Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -450 HART +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -9.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -7.1 (-13.1) | 135.2 (+0.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -8.2 (-14.2) | 136.7 (-0.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -8.8 (-14.8) | 137.7 (-1.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -6.5 (-12.5) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | HART 75 – 74 UVM |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UVM 82 – 72 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-5 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 63.9 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#92) | -1.6 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#171) | -0.16 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#131) | -0.27 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.510 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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