Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -2.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -1.4 (-6.6) | 132.8 (+5.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -4.4 (-3.6) | 133.2 (+4.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -4.9 (-3.1) | 134.0 (+4.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -4.1 (-3.9) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PAC 77 – 70 USD |
| Dec 28, 2025 | USD 66 – 54 PAC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USD 81 – 77 PAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PAC 71 – 69 USD |
| Dec 31, 2024 | USD 75 – 65 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | -0.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#320) | 0.15 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#308) | 0.40 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#327) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.