Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -9.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -8.4 (+0.6) | 145.8 (-20.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -11.2 (-2.2) | 147.7 (-22.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.9 (+1.1) | 144.3 (-19.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -7.5 (+1.5) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UNF 87 – 85 EKU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | EKU 86 – 81 UNF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | EKU 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | EKU 89 – 76 UNF |
| Feb 23, 2023 | UNF 77 – 64 EKU |
Game Analysis
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