Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +310 EKU -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +2 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -4.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -5.8 (+7.8) | 157.6 (+14.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -5.4 (+7.4) | 158.6 (+13.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.8 (+6.8) | 157.4 (+14.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.0 (+7.0) | 158.2 (+13.8) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | EKU 86 – 81 UNF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | EKU 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | EKU 89 – 76 UNF |
| Feb 23, 2023 | UNF 77 – 64 EKU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | EKU 67 – 58 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#346) | -5.7 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#354) | -1.07 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.52 (#351) | -1.53 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#327) | 0.467 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 59.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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