Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -130 EKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -0.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -0.6 (-4.4) | 161.8 (+5.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -0.7 (-4.3) | 163.8 (+3.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.2 (-4.8) | 161.4 (+5.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.5 (-4.5) | 162.7 (+4.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UNF 87 – 85 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | EKU 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | EKU 89 – 76 UNF |
| Feb 23, 2023 | UNF 77 – 64 EKU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | EKU 67 – 58 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#252) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#213) | -0.25 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#219) | -0.09 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#190) | 0.500 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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